Szczegóły publikacji
Opis bibliograficzny
Scenario-based evaluation of the decarbonisation target for the Polish energy sector — Scenariusze dekarbonizacji polskiego sektora energetycznego / Mariusz KUDEŁKO // Rynek Energii ; ISSN 1425-5960 . — 2026 — nr 3, s. 118–126. — Bibliogr. s. 124–126, Summ., Streszcz.
Autor
Słowa kluczowe
Dane bibliometryczne
| ID BaDAP | 169160 |
|---|---|
| Data dodania do BaDAP | 2026-09-08 |
| Rok publikacji | 2026 |
| Typ publikacji | artykuł w czasopiśmie |
| Otwarty dostęp |  |
| Czasopismo/seria | Rynek Energii |
Abstract
The aim of this article is to identify potential pathways for achieving full decarbonisation of the Polish energy sector by 2050. To this end, the study employs an original optimisation model simulating the long-term development of the domestic electricity and heat generation sector. The analysis considers three scenarios, each reflecting different values of key risk parameters that may influence the achievement of full decarbonisation. The most significant sources of uncertainty were identified as: the growth rate of electricity demand, EUA prices, LULUCF potential, capital expenditure (CAPEX) for RES, and the investment rate in RES. Simulation results are presented in terms of the future electricity generation structure in Poland, discounted generation costs over 2025–2050, CO2 emissions in 2050, and the ratio of heat production to total energy production in 2050.
