Szczegóły publikacji
Opis bibliograficzny
Near future of Polish energy system – COP21 and BAT conclusions / Wojciech SUWAŁA, Artur WYRWA, Marcin PLUTA // E3S Web of Conferences [Dokument elektroniczny]. — Czasopismo elektroniczne ; ISSN 2267-1242. — 2017 — vol. 14 art. no. 01001, s. 1–10. — Wymagania systemowe: Adobe Reader. — Tryb dostępu: http://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2017/02/e... [2017-04-07]. — Bibliogr. s. 10, Abstr. — Publikacja dostępna online od: 2017-03-15. — Toż w wersji drukowanej. — Energy and fuels 2016 : Kraków, 21–23 September 2016
Autorzy (3)
Dane bibliometryczne
| ID BaDAP | 105290 |
|---|---|
| Data dodania do BaDAP | 2017-05-08 |
| DOI | 10.1051/e3sconf/20171401001 |
| Rok publikacji | 2017 |
| Typ publikacji | referat w czasopiśmie |
| Otwarty dostęp | |
| Creative Commons | |
| Czasopismo/seria | E3S Web of Conferences |
Abstract
Next years will be very important for the development of the Polish energy system. Substantial part of the existing capacities are obsolete and need to be replaced or at least deeply modernised to fulfil expected emissions regulations. A hybrid of TIMES-PL and TIMES-MACRO energy-economic models was used to analyse the possible changes in the power generation mix and economic impact of different scenarios that combine the climate and air pollution regulations. The results show that to maintain the CO2 emission reduction trend a combination of measures is needed including the use of renewables, nuclear, natural gas and clean coal technologies. However, such transition in the energy sector will lead to a cumulative GDP loss in the near future once the possible GDP gains could happen after 2045 in which the economic, technical and legislative conditions are very difficult to foresee.